Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at PTM Regionals
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-3-2
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.4%
avg ELO -8.4 per match
expected value
42.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1122
· median 1122
· range 1122–1122
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1164
Q3 1404
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.5% | -4.3 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
